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Cowen and Company's 2009 and 2010 US forecasts, made January 2009 | |||
[http://www.gamesindustry.biz/articles/analyst-slashes-ps3-sales-expectations-following-disappointing-2008] | |||
<pre>... | |||
The company now expects Sony will sell 4 million <nowiki><nowiki>[</nowiki></nowiki>PS3] units in the US during 2009, down 2.25 million from previous estimates of 6.25 million units. | |||
Cowen does expect sales will pick up marginally in 2010, with 4.5 million units sold in the region. | |||
... | |||
In contrast, Cowen has upped its sales expectations for Nintendo's Wii, expecting the console to sell another two million units in 2009 and 2010, to 8 million and 6 million units, respectively. | |||
... | |||
Cowan also expects Microsoft's Xbox 360 will widen its lead over the PlayStation 3 this year, with 4.25 million units sold, although expectations for 2010 remain the same at 4 million units. | |||
... | |||
Expectations for DS sales in the US have been adjusted upwards, to 7.5 million this year, and 6.5 million in 2010, while PSP sales have been dropped slightly to 3.5 million units in 2009, and 3.25 million in 2010.</pre> | |||
IDC's Billy Pidgeon's predictions for worldwide LTD install bases through 2012, made earlier than mid-June 2008 | |||
[http://news.cnet.com/8301-13772_3-9948454-52.html] | |||
I attempted to round to the nearest million based on the image given. | |||
<pre>X360 | |||
2008: 27 M | |||
2009: 32 M | |||
2010: 36 M | |||
2011: 38 M | |||
2012: 40 M | |||
PS3 | |||
2008: 23 M | |||
2009: 41 M | |||
2010: 60 M | |||
2011: 87 M | |||
2012: 107 M | |||
Wii | |||
2008: 42 M | |||
2009: 70 M | |||
2010: 90 M | |||
2011: 99 M | |||
2012: 104 M</pre> | |||
Activision's predictions for North America 2008, made May 2008 | |||
[http://www.gamedaily.com/articles/news/activision-wii-to-sell-double-ps3-in-north-america-this-year/?biz=1] | |||
<pre>He said that Activision expects hardware increases in North America during calendar year 2008 of 2-3 million units for PS2, 3-4 million units for PS3, 4-5 million units for Xbox 360, and 7 million units for the Wii. He added that Activision expects handhelds to grow by 11 million units but did not break that estimate down into PSP versus DS sales.</pre> | |||
IDG's market sector predictions for US/EU 2008 and 2009, made April 2008 | |||
[http://www.mcvuk.com/interviews/240/IDG-Research-sales-forecast-2008-2009] | |||
<pre>(First figure, 2008; second figure, 2009) | |||
HARDWARE UNITS | |||
US handheld: 12.5m 10.7m | |||
US console: 20.1m 17.2m | |||
US Total: 32.6m 27.9m | |||
Euro handheld: 14.6 10.7m | |||
Euro console: 14.8m 13.1m | |||
Euro total: 29.4m 23.8m | |||
SOFTWARE UNITS | |||
US Handheld: 80.1m 68.7m | |||
US Console: 174.1m 181.0m | |||
US Total: 254.2m 249.7m | |||
Euro Handheld: 84m 75.5m | |||
Euro Console: 107m 106.9m | |||
Euro total: 191m 182.4m</pre> | |||
Lazard Capital Markets's Colin Sebastian's predictions for US 2008, made April 2008 | |||
[http://www.next-gen.biz/index.php?option=com_content&task;=view&id;=10106&Itemid;=2] | |||
<pre>In a Monday investor note, Colin Sebastian with Lazard Capital Markets raised 2008 US Wii sales estimates from 6.5 million to 8.5 million units, and PS3 sales from 4.5 million to 4.7 million. | |||
He also boosted 2008 DS estimates from 5.9 million to 6.4 million and PS2 from 2.5 million to 3 million. He reiterated his Xbox 360 sales forecast of 4.8 million during the year and PSP sales of 3.8 million.</pre> | |||
Michael Pachter's worldwide predictions for 2008, made April 2008 | |||
[http://www.videogaming247.com/2008/04/04/exclusive-pachter-gives-global-2008-hardware-sales-forecast/] | |||
<pre>“I expect US and European Wii sales of 15 million units this year, expect sales of 360 to be 6.8 million, and expect sales of PS3 to be 10.3 million,” he said. “I expect Japanese sales of 3.5 million Wiis, 2.8 million PS3 and 300,000 Xbox 360s.”</pre> | |||
Daniel Ernst of Hudson Square Research predicts fiscal 2009 (April 2008 - March 2009), made April 2008 | Daniel Ernst of Hudson Square Research predicts fiscal 2009 (April 2008 - March 2009), made April 2008 | ||