Wii will seem even further behind graphically in 3 years.

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I must disagree.  Will X360 and PS3 games look even more impressive than they do today?  Of course.  But look at the most popular Wii launch games worldwide: Wii Sports and Wii Play are about as graphically simple as you can get, and Twilight Princess is a GameCube game with a 16:9 mode as its only notable graphical addition.  Clearly with the improvements made over GameCube Wii is capable of a lot more, so I think the Wii games of 3 years from now will seem at least as improved as the X360 and PS3 games.  If many people are willing to overlook the graphical difference now, I don't see why three years of improvement all around will halt that.

Additionally, a console's ultimate fate is pretty well decided by the time it's had 2 or 3 years to grow its userbase.  If Wii does well for a few years, it's a bit late for Hot Game 2009 on PS3 to put a lid on it.

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